UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!

Nvrm.

* Edited at 09.22.2023, 4:53 PM ET *

Collier broke Usman at the face offs

Collier round 1 ko

Collier coming in under 265 for the first time has me intrigued. If he doesn't gas out then he is much more skilled than Usman.

Collier vs. Usman
Jake Collier, TKO, R3
I don't think Usman will outlast Collier. After 1.5 rounds Jake will be able to do with him whatever he wants to

There's still a significant size and power difference between the two of them. I doubt Collier will be able to remotely hurt Usman until the 3rd round if he can accumulate damage

Usman does not take shots well IF Jake can keep it standing he can hurt him.
Roids don't make your chin better only brain smaller "both of them".

@danromanick power yes size? No. Usman weighed in at 237 while collier weighed in at 256. 

Means vs. Fialho
Tim Means, TKO, R2
Fiahlo Glass Jaw

I really really wanna take the shot on Jake this week because Mo is just objectively terrible but Jake is just so bad too. 

I’m thinking if Brandon Sayles can finish Mo then Jake has to be able to but I just can’t be confident 

Wow Collier looks pretty lean this time, and he's taller than Usman? I have more hope now that he actually gets this done!

We'll see if the 9lbs difference in weight makes any difference for Jake this time around, considering he's still 50lbs overweight.

Collier is coming in with his shirt off and mocking Usman with a smirk on his face. Just that is a big contrast to his usual shuffle in with his clothes on, looking down at the floor in shame with the demeanor of a 5 year old that's been naugthy and knows it.

 

1. Rafael Fiziev vs. Mateusz Gamrot
   • Winner Prediction:Rafael Fiziev
   • Method:Decision
   • Confidence:62%
   • Breakdown:Fiziev's impressive Muay Thai background grants him a striking advantage that might prove to be too much for Gamrot. However, Gamrot's wrestling acumen could play a pivotal role in countering Fiziev's striking. The key will be whether Gamrot can successfully take Fiziev down and control him on the ground. Nevertheless, Fiziev's takedown defense and improved grappling might be enough to keep it standing and edge out a decision.
2. Bryce Mitchell vs. Dan Ige
   • Winner Prediction:Dan Ige
   • Method:Decision
   • Confidence:67%
   • Breakdown:  Ige's striking prowess and his ability to keep the fight standing will play a significant role. If he can fend off Mitchell's grappling attempts, especially in the early rounds, he can accumulate striking points. Mitchell might be looking for takedowns and submissions, but given Ige's takedown defense and the fact that he's never been finished, the fight could very well go the distance with Ige edging out on the scorecards due to his striking advantage. 
3. Marina Rodriguez vs. Michelle Waterson
   • Winner Prediction:Marina Rodriguez
   • Method:Decision
   • Confidence:72%
   • Breakdown:Rodriguez has shown excellent striking skills in her recent outings, with good power and technique. Waterson, while an adept striker, might find Rodriguez's reach and power challenging. Waterson's best chance is to mix up her striking with takedowns, but Rodriguez's improved takedown defense might be the deciding factor in a striking battle that goes the distance.
4. Bryan Battle vs. AJ Fletcher
   • Winner Prediction:Bryan Battle
   • Method:Decision
   • Confidence:58%
   • Breakdown:A match that's tough to call. Both fighters bring a lot to the table, but Battle's recent form and versatility seem to give him an edge. Fletcher might look for opportunities to capitalize on any mistakes, but Battle's well-roundedness might see him control the pace and direction of the fight.
5. Ricardo Ramos vs. Charles Jourdain
   • Winner Prediction:Charles Jourdain
   • Method:KO/TKO
   • Round:2
   • Confidence:68%
   • Breakdown:Jourdain's striking, especially his ability to deliver power shots, can pose significant threats to Ramos. While Ramos is no slouch in the striking department, Jourdain's knockout power and aggressive style may catch Ramos in a vulnerable moment, leading to a mid-fight stoppage.
6. Dan Argueta vs. Miles Johns
   • Winner Prediction:Miles Johns
   • Method:Decision
   • Confidence:61%
   • Breakdown:In what promises to be a closely contested bout, Johns' experience and refined striking might be the difference-maker. Argueta will likely bring the fight to Johns, but Johns' defense and counter-punching can see him secure a points win.
7. Tim Means vs. Andre Fialho
   • Winner Prediction:Tim Means
   • Method:Decision
   • Confidence:63%
   • Breakdown:Means, with his vast experience and diverse striking skillset, could prove a bit too much for Fialho. Fialho will need to be wary of Means' striking combinations and may look to make it a gritty, close-quarters battle.
8. Jacob Malkoun vs. Cody Brundage
   • Winner Prediction:Jacob Malkoun
   • Method:Decision
   • Confidence:79%
   • Breakdown:Malkoun's durability and solid grappling base might help him control significant portions of the fight. Brundage, while dangerous, might find it challenging to consistently break Malkoun's defensive shell.
9. Mohammed Usman vs. Jake Collier
   • Winner Prediction:Mohammed Usman
   • Method:Decision
   • Confidence:64%
   • Breakdown:Usman, while still relatively new to the MMA scene, has shown promise. His physicality and athletic abilities can play a significant role against Collier. The fight could go the distance, with Usman edging out by utilizing his strength and grappling.
10. Mizuki vs. Hannah Goldy

• Winner Prediction:Mizuki
• Method:Submission
• Round:3
• Confidence:58%
• Breakdown:Mizuki's well-rounded skill set, combined with her experience, might see her controlling most of the exchanges. As the fight progresses Goldy may force the grappling exchanges, which might lead Mizuki finding an opening for a submission.

1. Tamires Vidal vs. Montserrat Rendon

• Winner Prediction:Tamires Vidal
• Method:KO/TKO
• Round:1
• Confidence:73%
• Breakdown:Vidal's striking metrics and the age differential are hard to overlook. Rendon, while undefeated, might not have faced a striker of Vidal's caliber. Expect Vidal to press the action early and potentially secure an early stoppage.

@Noster75 

Did anyone else watch Jake Collier gas hard against Chris Barnett? His cardio is not good. I would be just as worried about him as I would Usman.

He gassed against both Beast Boy and Buday. His cardio is firmly in the suspect territory and he cannot fight through being tired at all, Usman will at least try to win even if he's gassed.

if usman is gassed and collier is gassed. you can trust usman to either sleep on top of collier for a round or hold him against the cage. that's the difference. if it strays a pure striking match collier has a chance. mainly to out point Mo which would be funny af

Parlays :
All odds current as of 2:38 PM MST 09/22/2023. Taken from DK on BestFightOdds.
1. Brundage(+410)/Goldy(+270)/Means(+136) = 44.53:1
2. Gamrot(+124)/Ramos(+120)/Collier(+120) = 10.84:1
3. Battle(-185)/Argueta(-185)/Mitchell(-205) = 3.53:1
4. Vidal(-238)/Rodriguez(-310) = 1.87:1
5. 10-pack : Props 1-3 + Vidal = 2422.66:1

Some sneaky good fights on this card! I got the Dirty Bird Tim Means, cuz Tim Means BUSINESS!!!!
Hopefully the Ataman can get it done because I like his style a lot

USADA shivers at the face of the Usman family.